What can the history of car paint tell us about future paint trends?

2 May 2015

Cars have always been objects of great personal joy and pride. How they look reflects on us greatly, as much as the clothes we wear or the way we speak. Thus the colour of the car we drive has become a highly personal and fashionable part of car ownership, and a major headache for manufacturers who must constantly try and predict which colour they should paint their cars.

In an automobile industry which last year was worth over $900 billion, this is now a major science. But has it always been like that? What creates car paint trends and how can we predict the paint colours the market will want in the future?

The First Paints                                         

The very first paints were made from what was most convenient to make, so the neolithic cave paintings in Lascaux, France are painted black (charcoal) and red or yellow ochre (found in the earth).

As civilisation progressed, the rarer, more expensive colours acquired a sense of exclusivity. For example, the dye for purple was made from a small mollusc found only in the Mediterranean Sea, near the ancient city of Tyre in modern day Lebanon. This is why today the colour purple is associated with royalty, as only the elite could afford to wear it. Elizabeth I of England even banned non-royals from wearing the colour.

Carriages

The carriages of the 18th and 19th century were often brightly painted to reflect the luxury and wealth of the occupants. The fact that the paint often faded quite quickly and required repainting, merely reinforced the wealth and status of the owners.

So when it came to people choosing colours for the first cars, they instinctively went for paints and colours that were similar to what they were using on their carriages. As Gundula Tutt, an automotive colour historian and member of the Society of Automotive Historians explains, “Back around 1900 cars were basically motorized carriages and thus, painting methods were derived from the oil-based coating formulations used for traditional horse drawn carriages.”

All that was changed by one man; Henry Ford, whose biggest change was to make cars affordable. Once even his own factory floor workers could buy one of his cars, the idea of luxurious colours was no longer relevant. Practicality was king.

No one is sure if he ever said his famous line, ‘You can have any colour, as long as it’s black,’ as in fact the first Ford machines were red and green and grey. But it is certain that, as practical a man as Ford was, that he would have given great consideration into the colour of his cars. Ultimately choosing black, as it was both easier to apply on the production line and kept its colour longer.

As Tutt states, “There was no binding medium in the early days, so every time a colour would fade or yellow, it’d have to be repainted, and that was expensive.” As a result, Ford developed an asphalt-based baked enamel for his cars, noting that dark colours lasted longer.

Between the wars

After the carnage of the First World War, new methods of painting cars were developed using Chinese wood oil (or Tung oil as its sometimes known). This could be sprayed on, and when applied in cooperation with drying tunnels on the assembly line, dried in about one third of the time.

But more than just being quicker, these new “spar-varnishes” and “spar-enamels,” allowed for durable colours for the first time. Thus the 1920’s saw an array of bright colours being used, indeed, many cars of this time had two or three different colours on one car.

Despite, or perhaps because of the depression, the 1930’s saw the addition of metallic paints, which were originally made from actual fish scales. As it took up to 40,000 herring to make one kilo of paint, this method was reserved for the rich as it was so expensive. The effect though was to give a mother of pearl effect, which showed off the curves of the cars of the day. This effect was later reproduced more cheaply by using aluminium flakes.

Post-war

The 1940s saw a rise in the use of chrome trim and single-colour cars, as well as the development of a sun-resistant clear coat that prevented metallic paints from fading. This finally allowed consumers to choose any colour paint they wanted. Combined with the new found post-war cultural and economic freedom in America, cars were painted in ever more garish shades. This is evident in a look at the colours used by the Ford Motor Co in 1950, a list which includes Casino Cream, Chrome Yellow, Vermillion Red, Admiral Blue and even a Chantilly Green.

By 1968, the number of reds and oranges offered by Ford had more than doubled, as ‘Flower power’ and ‘Psychedelia’ from popular culture influenced the palettes of the day. There were no longer any taboos or technological restrictions on what colour cars could be, and manufacturers could make just about any coloured car they wished. They began experimenting, and sold cars in ever brighter yellows and oranges. Greens became richer (like metallic emerald) or more gaudy (like lime green), but this trend wasn’t to last.

The Present

The fact that the choice of possible car colours is so wide makes it all the more strange that today’s cars are so uniformly coloured.

According to vehicle paint giant PPG Industries, “white has been the most popular colour for new cars for every year since 2011, with worldwide 28% of new cars in 2014 being painted white (up from 25% in 2013). The second most popular colour was black, found on 18% of new cars, while silver and grey tied for third place in the popularity stakes, with each appearing on roughly 13% of new cars.”
This trend for cars in plain colours has also been noticed by Nancy Lockhart, DuPont colour marketing manager, who says, “White has been a constant top runner since really 1998. Silver had its reign from 2001 to 2006 as being the leading colour and now black has come up as being the leading colour in certain segments, especially luxury.”

This is a phenomenon explained by Barb Whalen, design manager of colour and materials at Ford, who notes that colour schemes are generally market lead. Colours such as white, silver/grey and black are known to sell, so manufacturers see no reason to try anything new. He says, “There’s a group of customers that always just goes for those basic colours, and that’s what they’re going to come back to.”

Matthew De Paula of Forbes magazine believes that there is a deeper reason for the fashion of colourless cars. He notes that, “Trends in the electronics industry had a big impact on car colours over the past decade. For example, silver became the colour of choice for mobile phones, computers and home entertainment systems in the early to mid-2000s.”

The Future

Whatever the reason behind the current trend, it is clear that car colour is an important factor. As a recent PPG survey states, “Consumers rate exterior colour of equal importance as low price, advanced technology, and low maintenance costs, when purchasing a new vehicle.”

But perhaps more interestingly from the survey, was the discovery that consumers want more automotive colour choices. With 41% of the automotive consumers surveyed saying that they would prefer a wider range of colour choice. Furthermore, 31% of the automotive consumers surveyed said they were willing to pay extra for a vehicle that expresses their personality through colour.

With this in mind, are we on the verge of a colour explosion in the automobile industry?

Laurie Pressman, who forecasts future trends for US-based colour firm Pantone, predicts, “We do expect to see more natural and organic shades in the next couple of years. This includes creamy beiges and burnt-orange shades. Regionally, gold, beige, yellow and orange are increasingly popular choices for new car buyers in Europe, while browns are making a return in the luxury car market. Gold and citrus had gone down particularly well at this year’s Detroit Auto Show.”

This prediction is supported by market researchers at PPG, who believe that, “drivers will continue to see an increase in natural tones such as coppers, oranges and browns. New models also may be influenced by metal tones such as bronze, pewter and rose gold.”

Interestingly, these same colours were popular in the 1970’s, a fact that has not gone unnoticed by Professor Stephen Westland, chair of colour science and technology at Leeds University, England. His research has found that colour trends tend to be cyclical, with shades that were common in the past returning to popularity in later generations. As he explains, “Many of those [buying cars today] might not be so old as to remember brown and cream cars,” he said. “So maybe those colours have lost the negative connotations and have started to appear fresher.”

Of course, no one can accurately predict the future, especially when trying to find out what a large group of people will want in a year’s time. But given that there are only main seven colours in the rainbow, plus black, white, grey and a few metalics, it seems a certainty that colours will repeat over time. So perhaps when predicting car colour trends, it is not so important to look forward to the future as back to the past.